The value of circulating fibrinogen-to-pre-albumin ratio in predicting survival and benefit from chemotherapy in colorectal cancer

Abstract

Background: To evaluate the prognostic role of circulating fibrinogen-to-pre-albumin (FPR) in colorectal cancer (CRC) with different tumor locations, and its involvement in chemosensitivity and chemoresistance. Patients and methods: A total of 2917 eligible CRC patients from multiple centers were enrolled in this prospective study, and 3 years follow-up was carried out to obtain the outcome of these patients. Circulating fibrinogen (Fib), pre-albumin (pAlb), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) were detected, and we calculated FPR according to the detected results. Kaplan–Meier curves, Cox proportional regression, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, Harrell’s concordance index, calibration, and decision curves were used to investigate the role of FPR in predicting chemotherapy efficacy and prognosis of CRC patients. Results: Our results showed that cancer bulk, its infiltrating depth, and the distal metastasis status of CRC determined circulating FPR levels. A high FPR was associated with a significantly inferior prognosis, while the outcomes of right-sided patients with stage III and IV CRC were worse than left-sided cases. Only FPR was found to be a reliable and independent prognostic factor for each stage of CRC. In addition, the prognostic FPR-contained nomograms were superior to the non-FPR nomograms and FPR in predicting the outcomes in both localized and metastatic CRC patients. The circulating FPR was significantly associated with chemotherapeutic efficacy in stage III and IV CRC patients. In particular, low-grade (FPR < 15) and medium-grade (15 ⩽ FPR < 20) FPR patients exhibited a complete response to chemotherapy and attenuated chemosensitivity, respectively; in contrast, high-grade inflammation (FPR ⩾ 20) conferred resistance to the treatment. Conclusion: Circulating FPR is a robust and independent prognostic factor, a simple and economically-friendly predictor of chemotherapy efficacy within cases of localized and metastatic CRC. FPR-contained nomograms are more effective in predicting the prognosis of these patients. FPR and the nomogram can be recommended for the evaluation of chemotherapy efficacy and to aid decision-making associated with the management of these patients.