Reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants, China, December 2022–January 2023

Author:

Bai Yuan123,Shao Zengyang3,Zhang Xiao3,Chen Ruohan3,Wang Lin4,Ali Sheikh Taslim125,Chen Tianmu6,Lau Eric H Y12,Jin Dong-Yan7,Du Zhanwei123

Affiliation:

1. WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control , Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, , Hong Kong Special Admimistrative Region , China

2. School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong , Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, , Hong Kong Special Admimistrative Region , China

3. Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science and Technology Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region , China

4. Department of Genetics, University of Cambridge , Cambridge, CB2 3EH , UK

5. Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health, Hong Kong Science and Technology Park , Hong Kong Special Administrative Region , China

6. State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University , Xiamen , China

7. Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, School of Biomedical Sciences, The University of Hong Kong , Hong Kong Special Admimistrative Region , China

Abstract

China adjusted the zero-COVID strategy in late 2022, triggering an unprecedented Omicron wave. We estimated the time-varying reproduction numbers of 32 provincial-level administrative divisions from December 2022 to January 2023. We found that the pooled estimate of initial reproduction numbers is 4.74 (95% confidence interval: 4.41, 5.07).

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

General Research Fund

Research Grant Council

Health and Medical Research Fund

HMRF Research Fellowship Scheme

Food and Health Bureau

Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Medicine

Reference9 articles.

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