Development and Evaluation of Aggregate Destination Choice Models for Trip Distribution in Florida

Abstract

Discrete choice modeling techniques have been used to model simultaneously the effects of land use and socioeconomic and demographic characteristics on travel behavior. To evaluate the performance of destination choice models with aggregate alternatives at the level of the travel analysis zone in allocating trips between zone pairs, this study developed three sets of home-based work models by using data collected from Broward, Palm Beach, and Volusia Counties in Florida. An objective for this study was to identify the benefit of destination choice models to urban areas of different sizes and characteristics. The spatial distribution patterns from the models were compared with those obtained from gravity models. The results from this study show that all urban areas benefited from destination choice models regardless of the urban size.