Analysis of Travel Mode Choice Behavior between High-Speed Rail and Air Transport Utilizing Large-Scale Ticketing Data

Author:

Cao Weiwei12ORCID,Chen Zibing3ORCID,Shi Feng45ORCID,Xu Jin456ORCID

Affiliation:

1. College of Economic and Management, Civil Aviation Flight University of China, Guanghan, China

2. Gongqing Institute of Science and Technology, Jiujiang, China

3. Department of Marketing, College of Business, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon Tong, Kowloon, Hong Kong

4. School of Economics and Management, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, China

5. Service Science and Innovation Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu, China

6. National Engineering Laboratory of Integrated Transportation Big Data Application Technology, Chengdu, China

Abstract

As essential infrastructure, high-speed rail (HSR) and air transport (AT) play crucial roles in socioeconomic development. With their continuous expansion in China, the overlap of HSR and AT networks has increased, providing travelers with more choices for intercity travel. Because fierce competition in the medium-to-long-distance segment affects the market share and transport capacity dispatching, the travel choice between HSR and AT has been of intense interest. This study utilized a unique fusion dataset collected from two separate organizations to conduct an empirical analysis of the travel mode choice behaviors of individuals when choosing between HSR and AT. A multinomial logit (MNL) model was adopted to examine the influences of key factors on passenger choice preferences. The results showed that the fitting effect of the MNL model was satisfactory, and the parameters were strongly interpretable. The McFadden Pseudo R2 with a city-pair fixed effect in the MNL model increased by 17.3% compared with that without the city-pair fixed effect. All the related explanatory variables, including the trip distance by high-speed train, demography, ticket purchasing, and travel behavior characteristics, had significant positive effects on the passengers’ choice of AT, with trip distance having the largest effect. According to the parameter estimation, 1,160 km was the division for individual choice between HSR and AT. This study also compared the prediction accuracies of the MNL model and eight classical machine-learning models and found that random forest had the best performance. This study provides a new framework for analyzing travel choice modeling when choosing between HSR and AT.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3