The Predictive and Prognostic Value of Percentage Change in Calf Circumference in Infants and Children During the First Week of Admission in the Pediatric Intensive Care Unit: A Prospective Cohort Study

Abstract

Calf circumference (CC) is an easy measure of muscle loss; yet, there are limited studies in children. We aimed to assess the viability of the first-week percent change in CC as a prognostic nutritional marker. Two MUAC (mid-upper arm circumference), CC, and weight measurements were carried out: one on the first day of admission and another on the seventh day. The differences and correlations between their percent changes were examined. The possible association between CC percent change and prolonged length of hospital stay (PLOS) and in-hospital mortality was assessed. Seventy participants were enrolled with a median age of 19.5 months. The median (interquartile range [IQR]) of CC percent change was 0.54 (5.5) with significant correlations between it and each of MUAC and weight percent change (ρ = 0.928, P = .001), (ρ = 0.902, P = .001), respectively. Calf circumference percent changes were significantly more negative in children with PLOS; ( P = .004). These changes seem to be viable measures of nutritional status.