Stability and Bifurcation Analysis of the Caputo Fractional-Order Asymptomatic COVID-19 Model with Multiple Time-Delays

Author:

Rihan Fathalla A.1ORCID,Udhayakumar K.1,Sottocornola Nicola2,Anwar M.-Naim3,Khaliq Abdul Q. M.4

Affiliation:

1. Department of Mathematical Sciences, College of Science, United Arab Emirates University, Al-Ain 15551, UAE

2. College of Natural and Health Sciences, Zayed University, 44534 Abu Dhabi, UAE

3. Faculty of Engineering, Pharos University in Alexandria, Egypt

4. Department of Mathematical Sciences, Middle Tennessee State University, USA

Abstract

Throughout the last few decades, fractional-order models have been used in many fields of science and engineering, applied mathematics, and biotechnology. Fractional-order differential equations are beneficial for incorporating memory and hereditary properties into systems. Our paper proposes an asymptomatic COVID-19 model with three delay terms [Formula: see text] and fractional-order [Formula: see text]. Multiple constant time delays are included in the model to account for the latency of infection in a vector. We study the necessary and sufficient criteria for stability of steady states and Hopf bifurcations based on the three constant time-delays, [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text]. Hopf bifurcation occurs in the addressed model at the estimated bifurcation points [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], [Formula: see text], and [Formula: see text]. The numerical simulations fit to real observations proving the effectiveness of the theoretical results. Fractional-order and time-delays successfully enhance the dynamics and strengthen the stability condition of the asymptomatic COVID-19 model.

Funder

United Arab Emirates University

Publisher

World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd

Subject

Applied Mathematics,Modeling and Simulation,Engineering (miscellaneous)

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