Burden of ischemic heart disease and its attributable risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

Author:

Safiri Saeid123,Karamzad Nahid4,Singh Kuljit567,Carson-Chahhoud Kristin89,Adams Cobi10,Nejadghaderi Seyed Aria211,Almasi-Hashiani Amir12ORCID,Sullman Mark J M1314,Mansournia Mohammad Ali15,Bragazzi Nicola Luigi16ORCID,Kaufman Jay S17ORCID,Collins Gary S1819ORCID,Kolahi Ali-Asghar20

Affiliation:

1. Research Center for Integrative Medicine in Aging, Aging Research Institute, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran

2. Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran

3. Cardiovascular Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran

4. Nutrition Research Center, Department of Biochemistry and Diet Therapy, School of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran

5. Department of Cardiology, Gold Coast University Hospital, Gold Coast, QLD, Australia

6. Department of Medicine, Griffith University, Southport, QLD, Australia

7. Department of Medicine, Bond University, Robina, QLD, Australia

8. Australian Centre for Precision Health, University of South Australia, Adelaide, SA, Australia

9. School of Medicine, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia

10. Department of Medicine, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, QLD, Australia

11. Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Expert Group (SRMEG), Universal Scientific Education and Research Network (USERN), Tehran, Iran

12. Department of Epidemiology, School of Health, Arak University of Medical Sciences, Arak, Iran

13. Department of Life and Health Sciences, University of Nicosia, Nicosia, Cyprus

14. Department of Social Sciences, University of Nicosia, Nicosia, Cyprus

15. Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran

16. Centre for Disease Modelling, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada

17. Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, Faculty of Medicine, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada

18. Centre for Statistics in Medicine, NDORMS, Botnar Research Centre, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

19. NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK

20. Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran

Abstract

Abstract Aims To report the prevalence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with ischemic heart disease (IHD) and its attributable risk factors in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019, by age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI). Methods and results Ischemic heart disease was defined as acute myocardial infarction (MI) and chronic IHD (angina; asymptomatic IHD following MI). Cause of death ensemble modelling was used to produce fatality estimates. The prevalence of the non-fatal sequalae of IHD was estimated using DisMod MR 2.1. All estimates were presented as counts and age-standardized rates per 100 000 population. In 2019, IHD accounted for 197.2 million (177.7–219.5) prevalent cases, 9.1 million (8.4–9.7) deaths, and 182.0 million (170.2–193.5) DALYs worldwide. There were decreases in the global age-standardized prevalence rates of IHD [−4.6% (−5.7, −3.6)], deaths [−30.8% (−34.8, −27.2)], and DALYs [−28.6% (−33.3, −24.2)] from 1990 to 2019. In 2019, the global prevalence and death rates of IHD were higher among males across all age groups, while the death rate peaked in the oldest group for both sexes. A negative association was found between the age-standardized DALY rates and SDI. Globally, high systolic blood pressure (54.6%), high low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (46.6%), and smoking (23.9%) were the three largest contributors to the DALYs attributable to IHD. Conclusion Although the global age-standardized prevalence, death, and DALY rates all decreased. Prevention and control programmes should be implemented to reduce population exposure to risk factors, reduce the risk of IHD in high-risk populations, and provide appropriate care for communities.

Funder

The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

The Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine,Epidemiology

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