Years of life lost associated with COVID-19 deaths in the USA during the first year of the pandemic

Author:

Quast Troy1,Andel Ross234,Gregory Sean5,Storch Eric A6

Affiliation:

1. University of South Florida, College of Public Health, Tampa, FL 33612, USA

2. University of South Florida, College of Behavioral and Community Sciences, Tampa, FL 33620, USA

3. Department of Neurology, Charles University and Motol University Hospital, Prague, 150 06, Czechia

4. International Clinical Research Center, St. Anne’s University Hospital, Brno, 656 91, Czechia

5. Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA

6. Menninger Department of Psychiatry & Behavioral Sciences, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX 77030, USA

Abstract

Abstract Background Years of Life Lost (YLLs) measure the shortfall in life expectancy due to a medical condition and have been used in multiple contexts. Previously it was estimated that there were 1.2 million YLLs associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths in the USA through 11 July 2020. The aim of this study is to update YLL estimates for the first full year of the pandemic. Methods We employed data regarding COVID-19 deaths in the USA through 31 January 2021 by jurisdiction, gender and age group. We used actuarial life expectancy tables by gender and age to estimate YLLs. Results We estimated roughly 3.9 million YLLs due to COVID-19 deaths, which correspond to roughly 9.2 YLLs per death. We observed a large range across states in YLLs per 10 000 capita, with New York City at 298 and Vermont at 12. Nationally, the YLLs per 10 000 capita were greater for males than females (136.3 versus 102.3), but there was significant variation in the differences across states. Conclusions Our estimates provide further insight into the mortality effects of COVID-19. The observed differences across states and genders demonstrate the need for disaggregated analyses of the pandemic’s effects.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,General Medicine

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