Potential for global spread of a novel coronavirus from China

Author:

Bogoch Isaac I12,Watts Alexander34,Thomas-Bachli Andrea34,Huber Carmen34,Kraemer Moritz U G56,Khan Kamran134

Affiliation:

1. Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

2. Divisions of General Internal Medicine and Infectious Diseases, University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

3. Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

4. BlueDot, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

5. Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK

6. Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK

Abstract

An epidemic of a novel coronavirus emerged from Wuhan, China, in late December 2019 and has since spread to several large Chinese cities. Should a scenario arise where this coronavirus spreads more broadly across China, we evaluate how patterns of international disease transmission could change.

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Medicine

Reference5 articles.

1. Human mobility and the global spread of infectious diseases: a focus on air travel;Findlater;Trends Parasitol,2018

2. Pneumonia of unknown etiology in Wuhan, China: potential for international spread via commercial air travel;Bogoch;J Travel Med,2020

3. Identifying future disease hot spots: infectious disease vulnerability index;Moore;Rand Health Q,2017

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