Superspreading potential of SARS-CoV-2 Delta variants under intensive disease control measures in China

Author:

Zhao Shi123ORCID,Guo Zihao12,Chong Marc Ka Chun123ORCID,He Daihai45ORCID,Wang Maggie H123ORCID

Affiliation:

1. JC School of Public Health and Primary Care , , Hong Kong, China

2. Chinese University of Hong Kong , , Hong Kong, China

3. CUHK Shenzhen Research Institute , Shenzhen , China

4. Department of Applied Mathematics , , Hong Kong, China

5. Hong Kong Polytechnic University , , Hong Kong, China

Abstract

Given the heterogeneity in individual transmissibility, we estimated the superspreading potential of SARS-CoV-2 Delta variants. Using case series of Delta variants in Guangdong, China, we found 15% (95%CrI: 12, 19) of cases seeded 80% of offspring cases.

Funder

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region

Health and Medical Research Fund

Food and Health Bureau

Publisher

Oxford University Press (OUP)

Subject

General Medicine

Reference5 articles.

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3. Temporal changes in the risk of superspreading events of coronavirus disease 2019;Lim;Open Forum Infect Dis,2021

4. Clustering and superspreading potential of sars-cov-2 infections in Hong Kong;Adam;Nat Med,2020

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