Status of Novel Coronavirus Disease and Analysis of Mortality in Mexico, Until June 30th, 2020: An Ecological Study

Author:

Raygoza Nicolas Padilla1,Salazar Cuauhtémoc Sandoval2,Ramírez-Gómez Xóchitl Sofía3,Navarro-Olivos Efraín4,Gallardo-Luna María de Jesus4,Magos-Vazquez Francisco J.4,Diaz-Martinez Daniel Alberto4

Affiliation:

1. Departmentl of Medicine, University of Celaya, Celaya México.

2. Department of Nursing and Obstetrics, Division of Health Sciences and Engineering, Campus Celaya-Salvatierra, University of Guanajuato, Celaya, Mexico.

3. Department of Clinical Nursing, Division of Health Sciences and Engineering, Campus Celaya-Salvatierra, University of Guanajuato, Celaya, Mexico.

4. Institute of Public Health from Guanajuato State, Guanajuato, Mexico.

Abstract

Introduction.Mexico has high number of new cases of Coronavirus Infectious Disease-19 and high rates of diabetes, hypertension, obesity, smoking, that can increase the mortality. The aim was to analyze the evolution of the disease until June 30th, 2020; to know the Cause-SpecificMortality Rate by each state from Mexico and the effect of co-morbidities on mortality for Coronavirus Infectious Disease-19. Methods. An ecological study was designed with public data of National Epidemiological Surveillance System to compare the hospital infrastructure (beds) and Cause-Specific Mortality Rate in each state from Mexico and analyze the effect of co-morbidities in mortality by Coronavirus Infectious Disease.19. It was used t-Student test, Z for two proportions, P-values, and OR, CI95%, and logistic regression .Results. From 509,539 registries, 226,089 (44.37%) were confirmed cases and 27,769 deaths were reported (12.28%). The states with higher mortality were Morelos, Baja California, Chihuahua, Guerrero. There was a lineal relationship between number of beds and cause-specific mortality rate (P<,05). Diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, immunosuppression, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease and obesity shown a stronger effect on mortality by coronavirus disease (OR higher than 2). Asthma shown a protective effect on mortality from coronavirus disease in Mexican population. Conclusion.The spread on coronavirus disease is active in Mexico. The comorbidities had a stronger effect on mortality of Coronavirus disease.

Publisher

Oriental Scientific Publishing Company

Subject

Pharmacology

Reference30 articles.

1. World Health Organization. Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) Situation Report – 140. 2020. Accesed June 13, 2020. Available in:https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200608-covid-19-sitrep-140.pdf?sfvrsn=2f310900_2

2. Shereen MA, Khan S, Kazmi A, Bashir N, Siddiquea R. COVID-19 infection: Origin, transmission, and characteristics of human coronaviruses. J Adv Res. 2020; 24: 91–98. Doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jare.2020.03.005

3. CrossRef

4. VelavanTP, Meyer CG. The COVID‐19 epidemic. Tropical Medicine and International Health. 2020; 25(3):278-280. Doi:https://doi.org/10.1111/tmi.13383

5. CrossRef

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