Abstract
ObjectivesWe aimed to develop an effective tool for predicting severe acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients admitted to the cardiac surgery recovery unit (CSRU).DesignA retrospective cohort study.SettingData were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III database, consisting of critically ill participants between 2001 and 2012 in the USA.ParticipantsA total of 6271 patients admitted to the CSRU were enrolled from the MIMIC-III database.Primary and secondary outcomeStages 2–3 AKI.ResultAs identified by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression, risk factors for AKI included age, sex, weight, respiratory rate, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, central venous pressure, urine output, partial pressure of oxygen, sedative use, furosemide use, atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure and left heart catheterisation, all of which were used to establish a clinical score. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the model were 0.779 (95% CI: 0.766 to 0.793) for the primary cohort and 0.778 (95% CI: 0.757 to 0.799) for the validation cohort. The calibration curves showed good agreement between the predictions and observations. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model could achieve a net benefit.ConclusionA clinical score built by using LASSO regression and logistic regression to screen multiple clinical risk factors was established to estimate the probability of severe AKI in CSRU patients. This may be an intuitive and practical tool for severe AKI prediction in the CSRU.
Funder
Yat-sen Start-up Foundation
Guangzhou Science and Technology Bureau
Bioland Laboratory
Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Cited by
1 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献