The association between COVID-19 infection and incident atrial fibrillation: results from a retrospective cohort study using a large US commercial insurance database

Abstract

BackgroundWe sought to examine a 1-year incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients with SARS-CoV-2 virus (COVID-19) in comparison to those with non-COVID-19 acute upper respiratory infection (AURI).MethodsPatients with a diagnosis of COVID-19 (in any setting) between April 2020 and June 2021 were identified in Optum Clinformatics. Two comparator cohorts were constructed: an ‘AURI pandemic’ cohort (AURI diagnosis between April 2020 and June 2021) and an ‘AURI prepandemic’ cohort (AURI diagnosis between January 2018 and December 2018). One-year incidence of AF was compared among: COVID-19 versus AURI pandemic cohort; COVID-19 versus AURI prepandemic cohort; and AURI pandemic versus AURI prepandemic cohort. For each comparison, we applied a matching weights technique to balance covariates. Logistic regression was used to compare the odds of incident AF among the matched cohorts.ResultsWhen comparing the matched COVID-19 (n=102 227) cohort with the AURI pandemic (n=102 101) cohort, higher incidence of AF was observed among the COVID-19 cohort (2.2% vs 1.2%; p<0.001; OR 1.83; 95% CI 1.72 to 1.95). Similar findings were observed for the COVID-19 (n=169 687) versus AURI prepandemic (n=169 486) comparison (2.7% vs 1.6%; p<0.001; OR 1.70; 95% CI 1.63 to 1.78). When comparing the AURI pandemic (n=1 26 392) versus AURI prepandemic (n=1 26 394) cohort, no significant differences in incident AF were observed (1.1% vs 1.2%; p=0.133; OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.90 to 1.01).ConclusionPatients diagnosed with COVID-19 were found to be at a higher risk of incident AF as compared with those with AURI. Timely diagnosis and appropriate treatment of AF may potentially mitigate the burden of AF conferred by COVID-19.