The value of the preoperative Naples prognostic score in predicting prognosis in gallbladder cancer surgery patients

Abstract

Abstract Purpose The Naples prognostic score (NPS) is a comprehensive prognostic model that includes inflammatory and nutrition-related indicators and is increasingly used as a prognostic score for various malignant tumors. Given its predictive effect on prognosis in patients with gallbladder cancer, it is currently unclear. This study aimed to investigate the role of preoperative NPS in predicting prognosis in gallbladder cancer surgery patients. Patients and methods A retrospective analysis was performed for 135 patients who underwent radical surgery for gallbladder cancer without preoperative treatment between March 2011 and January 2020. NPS was calculated by measuring the preoperative total cholesterol value, serum albumin value, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and lymphocyte-monocyte ratio (LMR). They were then divided into 3 groups (groups 0, 1, and 2) based on NPS scores. Survival analysis was performed using the Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify independent prognostic factors. Plot time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to compare the prognostic value of scoring systems. Finally, a nomogram model was developed with independent prognostic factors. Results Multivariate analysis showed that NPS was an independent risk factor affecting OS (HR = 3.417, p < 0.05). The time-dependent ROC curve results showed that NPS had a better predictive value on survival prognosis than other indicators. The nomogram constructed according to independent factors such as NPS has a good predictive ability for OS. Conclusion As a simple and reliable tool, the NPS has important predictive value in the survival prognosis of gallbladder cancer patients. The nomogram model constructed by NPS will help determine prognosis and make individualized treatment decisions.