Author:
Liu Huiling,Cui Yongbin,Chang Cheng,Zhou Zichun,Zhang Yalin,Ma Changsheng,Yin Yong,Wang Ruozheng
Abstract
Abstract
Background
The existing staging system cannot meet the needs of accurate survival prediction. Accurate survival prediction for locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC) patients who have undergone concurrent radiochemotherapy (CCRT) can improve their treatment management. Thus, this present study aimed to develop and validate radiomics models based on pretreatment 18Fluorine-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)-computed tomography (CT) images to accurately predict the prognosis in patients.
Methods
The data from 190 consecutive patients with LACC who underwent pretreatment 18F-FDG PET-CT and CCRT at two cancer hospitals were retrospectively analyzed; 176 patients from the same hospital were randomly divided into training (n = 117) and internal validation (n = 50) cohorts. Clinical features were selected from the training cohort using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models; radiomic features were extracted from PET and CT images and filtered using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator and Cox proportional hazard regression. Three prediction models and a nomogram were then constructed using the previously selected clinical, CT and PET radiomics features. The external validation cohort that was used to validate the models included 23 patients with LACC from another cancer hospital. The predictive performance of the constructed models was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic curves, Kaplan Meier curves, and a nomogram.
Results
In total, one clinical, one PET radiomics, and three CT radiomics features were significantly associated with progression-free survival in the training cohort. Across all three cohorts, the combined model displayed better efficacy and clinical utility than any of these parameters alone in predicting 3-year progression-free survival (area under curve: 0.661, 0.718, and 0.775; C-index: 0.698, 0.724, and 0.705, respectively) and 5-year progression-free survival (area under curve: 0.661, 0.711, and 0.767; C-index, 0.698, 0.722, and 0.676, respectively). On subsequent construction of a nomogram, the calibration curve demonstrated good agreement between actually observed and nomogram-predicted values.
Conclusions
In this study, a clinico-radiomics prediction model was developed and successfully validated using an independent external validation cohort. The nomogram incorporating radiomics and clinical features could be a useful clinical tool for the early and accurate assessment of long-term prognosis in patients with LACC patients who undergo concurrent chemoradiotherapy.
Funder
the State Key Laboratory of Pathogenesis, Prevention and Treatment of High Incidence Diseases in Central Asian Fund
the Key Research and Development Program of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region of China
the Special Funds Project of Central Guidance on Local Science and Technology Development
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Subject
Cancer Research,Genetics,Oncology