Predictive value of live birth rate based on different intrauterine adhesion evaluation systems following TCRA

Abstract

Abstract Objective The aim of this study was to assess the predictive value of five different intrauterine adhesion (IUA) evaluation systems for live birth rate following transcervical resection of adhesion (TCRA). Method This retrospective study included 128 women with IUA who desired for spontaneous conception after TCRA. All the patients were retrospectively scored by the American Fertility Society (AFS) classification, European Society of Gynecological Endoscopy (ESGE) classification, March’s classification (March), Nasr classification (Nasr) and Chinese IUA diagnosis classification criteria (Chinese). The predictive value of these evaluation systems was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under a ROC curve (AUC). Results The correlation coefficients of AFS, ESGE, March, Nasr and Chinese classification and the live birth rate were 0.313, 0.313, 0.288, 0.380, and 0.336, respectively. Among women with hypomenorrhea and amenorrhea, as well as women with no infertility, the severities determined by all five evaluation systems were correlated with live birth rate (P <  0.001). All five scoring systems were efficient to predict live birth rate. Among them, Nasr classification showed the highest AUC (0.748) with the best predictive value. Multivariate logistic regression analyses showed that Nasr classification had the highest OR (OR, 6.523; 95% CI, 2.612, 18.263). And, Nasr’s classification system also showed highest sensitivity (81.8%) and negative predictive value (96.7%) when divide the system into mild IUA vs. moderate and severe IUA. Conclusion AFS, ESGE, March, Nasr and Chinese classification were demonstrated to be capable of predicting live birth following TCRA although the predictive capacities might be limited, and Nasr classification showed the highest predictive value of live birth.