Attribution of Terrestrial Near‐Surface Wind Speed Changes Across China at a Centennial Scale

Author:

Zha Jinlin12,Chuan Ting1,Wu Jian1ORCID,Zhao Deming2ORCID,Luo Meng3,Feng Jinming2ORCID,Fan Wenxuan1ORCID,Shen Cheng4ORCID,Jiang Huiping56ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Processes in the Boundary Layer Over the Low‐Latitude Plateau Region Department of Atmospheric Science Yunnan University Kunming China

2. Key Laboratory of Regional Climate and Environment for Temperate East Asia Institute of Atmospheric Physics Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

3. Yunnan Climate Center Kunming China

4. Regional Climate Group Department of Earth Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden

5. Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing China

6. International Research Center of Big Data for Sustainable Development Goals Beijing China

Abstract

AbstractNear‐surface wind speed (NSWS) over China shows multiple time‐scale changes at a centennial scale, but the contributions of internal variability (IV), anthropogenic forcing (ANT), and natural forcing (NAT) to those changes remain unknown. This study investigated the contributions of IV, ANT, and NAT to NSWS changes at a centennial scale. Results show that the NSWS changes were attributed mainly to IV. IV not only modulated the interannual changes in NSWS but also determined the interdecadal transition in NSWS. The relative contributions of IV to the interannual and decadal NSWS exceeded 75.0%. ANT contributed particularly to the long‐term reduction in NSWS; especially, it has contributed 55.0% of the reduction in NSWS since 1957, serving as the major contributor to the reduction in NSWS. NAT had a small‐to‐negligible effect on China's NSWS throughout the study period. This study enhances our understanding of NSWS changes at different time scales.

Publisher

American Geophysical Union (AGU)

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