Mine ventilation system reliability evaluation based on a Markov chain

Author:

Liu Li,Liu Jian,Zhou Qichao

Abstract

AbstractMine ventilation systems play a key role in creating and sustaining a healthy and safe working environment within the mine, and as such, should always be maintained at optimal performance levels. This paper establishes a model based on Markov chain that can quickly evaluate the reliability of the ventilation system. Firstly, the operation status of the ventilation system is divided into normal, risk and failure. Then, according to the failure rate and repair rate of the system, the operation state of the system under the specified total operation time T and time interval Δt is simulated based on Monte Carlo method, the Markov chain state transfer probability matrix of the system can be obtained. Combined with the current operation state of the system, the reliability indexes such as the system operation state transfer probability and the steady state probability in the future can be quickly analyzed to realize the rapid evaluation of the operation reliability of the ventilation system. Finally, the model is used to evaluate the reliability of XQ mine ventilation system, which shows the effectiveness of the model. This research provides theoretical reference and technical support for mine safety production.

Funder

Natural Science Foundation of China

National Key Research and Development Program

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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