Resonant noise amplification in a predator-prey model with quasi-discrete generations

Abstract

AbstractPredator-prey models have been shown to exhibit resonance-like behaviour, in which random fluctuations in the number of organisms (demographic noise) are amplified when their frequency is close to the natural oscillatory frequency of the system. This behaviour has been traditionally studied in models with exponentially distributed replication and death times. Here we consider a biologically more realistic model, in which organisms replicate quasi-synchronously such that the distribution of replication times has a narrow maximum at some $$T>0$$ T > 0 corresponding to the mean doubling time. We show that when the frequency of replication $$f=1/T$$ f = 1 / T is tuned to the natural oscillatory frequency of the predator-prey model, the system exhibits oscillations that are much stronger than in the model with Poissonian (non-synchronous) replication and death. These oscillations lead to population instability and the extinction of one of the species much sooner than in the case of Poissonian replication. The effect can be explained by resonant amplification of coloured noise generated by quasi-synchronous replication events.