Validation of WINROP algorithm as screening tool of retinopathy of prematurity among Egyptian preterm neonates

Abstract

Abstract Background Retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) is a leading cause of preventable childhood blindness worldwide. Proper screening for ROP can prevent loss of vision. WINROP (weight, insulin-like growth factor 1, neonatal, retinopathy of prematurity) is an online surveillance system based on gestational age, birth weight and weekly weight gain that can predict infants at risk of sight-threatening retinopathy of prematurity. Aims To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of WINROP algorithm in detecting sight-threatening ROP in Egyptian preterm neonates. Methods Birth weight (BW), gestational age (GA) and weekly weight measurement of 365 preterm infants were prospectively entered into WINROP algorithm. Based on these inputs, the algorithm would output and a screening was performed as is standard. Sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were calculated by comparing WINROP outcomes with ROP screening outcomes. Results Of the infants included in the study the mean GA was ±31.24 and mean BW was ±1508.78. A high risk WINROP alarm was triggered in 62 infants of whom 16 infants develop type 1 or type 2 ROP. These infants had associated comorbidities including sepsis, Intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), history of transfusion of packed red blood cells (RBCS) and history of platelet transfusion. A low risk WINROP alarm was triggered in 303 infants of whom 15 infants developed type 1 or type 2ROP. WINROP showed a sensitivity of 51.6%, a specificity of 86.2%, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 52.8% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 95% for detection of type 1 or type 2 ROP. Conclusion WINROP has low sensitivity and high specificity for detection of ROP. It may help in ROP prediction but can’t be used alone. Modification of WINROP algorithm taking into account other risk factors may improve sensitivity and reduce number for ROP examination.