Validation of a risk prediction model for COVID-19: the PERIL prospective cohort study-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Validation of a risk prediction model for COVID-19: the PERIL prospective cohort study

Published:2023-10 Issue:15 Volume:18 Page:991-999
ISSN:1746-0794
Container-title:Future Virology
language:en
Short-container-title:Future Virology

Author:

Mohammedain Shahd A¹,Badran Saif¹²,Elzouki AbdelNaser Y³,Salim Halla³,Chalaby Ayesha³,Siddiqui MYA³,Hussein Yehia Y¹^ORCID,Rahim Hanan Abdul⁴,Thalib Lukman⁵,Alam Mohammed Fasihul⁴,Al-Badriyeh Daoud⁶^ORCID,Al-Maadeed Sumaya⁷,Doi Suhail AR¹^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Population Medicine, College of Medicine, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar

2. Department of Plastic Surgery, Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar

3. Department of Internal Medicine Hamad General Hospital Hamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar

4. Department of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar

5. Department of Biostatistics, Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul Aydin University, Istanbul, Turkey

6. College of Pharmacy, QU Health, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar

7. Department of Computer Science, College of Engineering, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar

Abstract

Aim: This study aims to perform an external validation of a recently developed prognostic model for early prediction of the risk of progression to severe COVID-19. Patients & methods/materials: Patients were recruited at their initial diagnosis at two facilities within Hamad Medical Corporation in Qatar. 356 adults were included for analysis. Predictors for progression of COVID-19 were all measured at disease onset and first contact with the health system. Results: The C statistic was 83% (95% CI: 78%–87%) and the calibration plot showed that the model was well-calibrated. Conclusion: The published prognostic model for the progression of COVID-19 infection showed satisfactory discrimination and calibration and the model is easy to apply in clinical practice.d

Funder

Qatar University Emergency Response Grant

Publisher

Future Medicine Ltd

Subject

Virology

Link

https://www.futuremedicine.com/doi/pdf/10.2217/fvl-2023-0036

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