Future Rx: optimism, preparation, acceptance of risk

Author:

Cathles Lawrence M.1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, 2143 Snee Hall, Ithaca, New York 14853, USA (e-mail: lmc19@cornell.edu)

Abstract

AbstractThe world contains the energy and mineral resources needed to sustain 10.5 billion (the level the world population is expected to reach in 2100) at a European standard of living for hundreds of centuries. Using physical and chemical principles to extrapolate from what we know, it is shown that the required resources are present, largely in the world's oceans. The environmental consequences of shifting to ocean supply will be positive, and a transition from fossil fuels to low carbon energy sources is provided by natural gas. The eventual steps required are big (thousands of nuclear reactors, country-size solar facilities in desert areas, large mining operations) and there are risks, but the risks are small compared with failing to meet the expectations of a growing world. The best course is to aim for success (all at European standard by 2113), accept and manage the risks of development, solving unforeseen problems as they arise, accept the transition to gas, and train and engage the best talents to prepare to tap the ocean's resources.

Publisher

Geological Society of London

Subject

Geology,Ocean Engineering,Water Science and Technology

Reference36 articles.

1. Bearman G. 1989. Ocean Circulation. Pergamon Press in association with the Open University, Oxford.

2. Berner E. K. & Berner R. A. 1987. The Global Water Cycle. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

3. Cathles L. M. 2010a. What processes at mid-ocean ridges tell us about volcanogenic massive sulfide resources. Mineralium Deposita, 19, http://dx.doi.org/1007/s00126-010-0292-9

4. A path forward;SEG Newsletter,2010

5. Reply to comment by Hannington “Are black smokers copper plating the ocean floor?”

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3