The prognostic value of preoperative D-dimer to albumin ratio for overall survival and progression-free survival in colorectal cancer

Abstract

Introduction: This study aimed to explore the predictive value of the D-dimer-to-albumin ratio (DAR) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).Methods: The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves for PFS and OS. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the DAR for PFS and OS in patients with CRC. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to analyze prognostic factors influencing outcomes. A nomogram based on the DAR was constructed to predict 1-, 3-, and 5-year prognoses of patients with CRC; its predictive ability was evaluated using the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curves. Additionally, the clinical utility of the DAR-based nomogram was validated using an internal randomized validation cohort.Results: A total of 1,339 patients with CRC who underwent surgery were enrolled. The optimal cut-off value for DAR was determined to be 3.320, dividing patients into low (<3.320 [n = 470]) and high (≥3.320 [n = 869]) DAR groups. Compared with other composite immune inflammatory markers, DAR exhibited superior prognostic predictive efficacy. Patients with a high DAR had a significantly worse prognosis than those with a low DAR (PFS, 50.9% versus [vs.] 69.4%, p < 0.001; OS, 52.9% vs. 73.8%, p < 0.001). DAR also demonstrated significant prognostic stratification for most tumor subgroups, particularly in the stage III-IV subgroup and normal carcinoembryonic antigen subgroup. DAR has been identified as an independent predictive indicator of PFS/OS in patients with CRC. For every standard deviation increase in DAR, the risk for PFS/OS in patients with CRC was reduced by 9.5% (hazard ratio [HR] 1.095 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.013–1.185]; p = 0.022) and 9.3% (HR 1.093 [95% CI 1.012–1.180]; p = 0.024), respectively. The DAR-based nomogram was confirmed to demonstrate good prognostic prediction accuracy and achieved high evaluation in the internal validation cohort.Conclusion: Preoperative DAR is a promising biomarker for predicting PFS and OS among patients with CRC. The DAR-based prognostic prediction nomogram may serve as an effective tool for the comprehensive assessment of prognosis in patients with CRC.