A Risk Model Developed Based on Homologous Recombination Deficiency Predicts Overall Survival in Patients With Lower Grade Glioma

Abstract

The role of homologous recombination deficiency (HRD) in lower grade glioma (LGG) has not been elucidated, and accurate prognostic prediction is also important for the treatment and management of LGG. The aim of this study was to construct an HRD-based risk model and to explore the immunological and molecular characteristics of this risk model. The HRD score threshold = 10 was determined from 506 LGG samples in The Cancer Genome Atlas cohort using the best cut-off value, and patients with high HRD scores had worse overall survival. A total of 251 HRD-related genes were identified by analyzing differentially expressed genes, 182 of which were associated with survival. A risk score model based on HRD-related genes was constructed using univariate Cox regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, and stepwise regression, and patients were divided into high- and low-risk groups using the median risk score. High-risk patients had significantly worse overall survival than low-risk patients. The risk model had excellent predictive performance for overall survival in LGG and was found to be an independent risk factor. The prognostic value of the risk model was validated using an independent cohort. In addition, the risk score was associated with tumor mutation burden and immune cell infiltration in LGG. High-risk patients had higher HRD scores and “hot” tumor immune microenvironment, which could benefit from poly-ADP-ribose polymerase inhibitors and immune checkpoint inhibitors. Overall, this big data study determined the threshold of HRD score in LGG, identified HRD-related genes, developed a risk model based on HRD-related genes, and determined the molecular and immunological characteristics of the risk model. This provides potential new targets for future targeted therapies and facilitates the development of individualized immunotherapy to improve prognosis.