Causal relationship between rheumatoid arthritis and hypothyroidism or hyperthyroidism: a bidirectional two-sample univariable and multivariable Mendelian randomization study

Abstract

ObjectiveThe causal relationship between Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and hypothyroidism/hyperthyroidism remains controversial due to the limitations of conventional observational research, such as confounding variables and reverse causality. We aimed to examine the potential causal relationship between RA and hypothyroidism/hyperthyroidism using Mendelian randomization (MR).MethodWe conducted a bidirectional two-sample univariable analysis to investigate the potential causal relationship between hypothyroidism/hyperthyroidism and RA. Furthermore, we performed a multivariate analysis to account for the impact of body mass index (BMI), smoking quantity, and alcohol intake frequency.ResultsThe univariable analysis indicated that RA has a causative influence on hypothyroidism (odds ratio [OR]=1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.01–1.14, P=0.02) and hyperthyroidism (OR=1.32, 95% CI=1.15–1.52, P<0.001). When hypothyroidism/hyperthyroidism was considered as an exposure variable, we only observed a causal relationship between hypothyroidism (OR=1.21, 95% CI=1.05–1.40, P=0.01) and RA, whereas no such connection was found between hyperthyroidism (OR=0.91, 95% CI=0.83–1.01, P=0.07) and RA. In the multivariate MR analyses, after separately and jointly adjusting for the effects of daily smoking quantity, alcohol intake frequency, and BMI, the causal impact of RA on hypothyroidism/hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism on RA remained robust. However, there is no evidence to suggest a causal effect of hyperthyroidism on the risk of RA (P >0.05).ConclusionUnivariate and multivariate MR analyses have validated the causal association between RA and hypothyroidism/hyperthyroidism. Hypothyroidism confirmed a causal relationship with RA when employed as an exposure variable, whereas no such relationship was found between hyperthyroidism and RA.