A Myeloid Signature-Based Nomogram Predicts the Postoperative Recurrence of Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma

Abstract

Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is the second most common cancer in liver, with a high recurrence rate after surgery. Recently, we identified a CD11b-CD169-based myeloid response score (MRS), which showed remarkable prognostic potential in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Here, we aimed to verify the prognostic value of the MRS in iCCA and establish an MRS-based nomogram to predict the postoperative prognosis of iCCA patients. From April 2005 to March 2017, a total of 84 patients from the Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University were enrolled. Preoperative clinical information and surgical specimens of enrolled patients were collected. Among these, tissues from 75 patients passed the clinical data quality control and the staining quality control. The protein expression of CD11b and CD169 in iCCA samples were detected by immunohistochemistry (IHC). Kaplan-Meier analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves revealed that the MRS had a high discriminatory ability for predicting the time to recurrence (TTR) of iCCA patients after surgery. Three independent risk factors selected by a Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, namely, the MRS, the tumor size and the status of vascular invasion, were included to construct a nomogram to predict the recurrence of iCCA after resection surgery. ROC curves, calibration analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) suggested that this nomogram had notable discriminatory power, stability and clinical usefulness in predicting the postoperative recurrence. Together, we explored the prognostic value of the MRS in iCCA, and constructed an MRS-based nomogram which may help to predict postoperative recurrence and aid clinical decisions for iCCA patients.