Abstract
We aimed to assess the risk of oral cancer incidence in a high-risk population, establish a predictive model for oral cancer among these high-risk individuals, and assess the predictive ability of the constructed model. Individuals aged ≥30 years who had a habit of smoking or betel nut chewing and had undergone oral cancer screening in 2010 or 2011 were selected as study subjects. The incidence of oral cancer among the subjects at the end of 2014 was determined. The annual oral cancer incidence among individuals with a positive screening result was 624 per 100,000 persons, which was 6.5 times that of the annual oral cancer incidence among all individuals screened. Male sex, aged 45–64 years, divorce, low educational level, presence of diabetes, presence of other cancers, high comorbidity severity, a habit of smoking or betel nut chewing, and low monthly salary were high-risk factors for oral cancer incidence (p < 0.05). The area under the curve of the predictive model for oral cancer incidence was 0.73, which indicated a good predictive ability. Therefore, the oral cancer screening policy for the high-risk population with a habit of smoking and/or betel nut chewing is beneficial for the early diagnosis of oral cancer.
Funder
Health Promotion Administration
Subject
Health, Toxicology and Mutagenesis,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
Reference70 articles.
1. WHO Cancer Preventionhttps://www.who.int/cancer/prevention/diagnosis-screening/oral-cancer/en/
2. WHO Global Oral Health Programmehttps://www.who.int/oral_health/objectives/en/
3. Global Cancer Observatory: Cancer Today;Ferlay,2018
4. Oral Health Country Area Profile Projecthttps://capp.mau.se/oral-diseases/
5. Worldwide Trends in Incidence Rates for Oral Cavity and Oropharyngeal Cancers
Cited by
47 articles.
订阅此论文施引文献
订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献