Development and Validation of a Nomogram for Predicting Blood Pressure Change Failure in Patients with Pheochromocytoma and Concomitant Hypertension after Adrenalectomy

Abstract

(1) Background: Pheochromocytoma is a common cause of secondary hypertension, which is considered curable; nevertheless, some patients still suffer from hypertension after adrenalectomy. Therefore, we developed and validated a nomogram for predicting blood pressure change failure in patients with pheochromocytoma and concomitant hypertension after adrenalectomy. (2) Methods: The development cohort of this study consisted of 259 patients with pheochromocytoma who underwent adrenalectomy at our center between 1 January 2007 and 31 December 2018. Each patient’s clinicopathologic data were recorded. LASSO (the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression was used to reduce and select the features of the data. Furthermore, we used multivariate logistic regression analysis to develop the prediction model. An independent cohort of 110 consecutive patients from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2021 was used for validation. The performance of this nomogram was assessed with regard to discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness. (3) Results: 40.9% and 46.4% of patients experienced blood pressure change failure in the development and validation cohorts of this study, respectively. We found that older patients with a longer duration of hypertension and concomitant cardiovascular events were more likely to suffer from blood pressure change failure. In the validation cohort, the model manifested great discrimination with an AUROC (area under the receiver operating characteristic) of 0.996 (p < 0.001) and good calibration (unreliability test, p = 0.359). Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model was clinically useful. (4) Conclusions: This study presented a reliable nomogram that facilitated individualized preoperative prediction of blood pressure change failure after adrenalectomy in patients with pheochromocytoma, which may help decision-making in perioperative treatment and follow-up strategies.