A Study on the Factors and Prediction Model of Triple-Negative Breast Cancer for Public Health Promotion

Abstract

This study was conducted to identify the risk causes and predictive models based on the clinical features of patients with breast cancer classified as triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) and non-triple-negative breast cancer (non-TNBCs) using Korean cancer statistics. A total of 2045 cases that underwent three types of hormone receptor tests were obtained from Korean cancer data in 2016. Research data were analyzed with the software SPSS Ver. 26.0. TNBC and non-TNBCs accounted for 12.4% and 87.6% of the data, respectively. Tubular and lobular tumors occurred most frequently in the external quadrant of the breast (C50.4–C50.5; 43.1%). Compared to non-TNBCs, the incidence of TNBC was the most common in patients under the age of 39 (19.5%), followed by those over the age of 70 (17.3%). Tumors larger than 2 cm accounted for 16.0%, which was higher than the number of tumors smaller than 2 cm. Cases in stage IV cancer represented 21.7% of the data. Additionally, 21.0% of the patients were in the SEER stage of distant metastasis, which was the most prevalent SEER (surveillance, epidemiology, and end outcomes) stage. Neoadjuvant therapy was administered more frequently, with a rate of 24.1%. In the logistic regression and decision-making tree model, the variables that affected TNBC were age, differentiation grade, and neoadjuvant therapy. The predictive accuracies of logistic regression and decision-making tree models were 87.8% and 87.6%, respectively. In a decision-marking tree model, the differentiation grades of TNBC affect neoadjuvant therapy, and neoadjuvant therapy affects the cancer stage. Therefore, in order to promote the health of breast cancer patients, it is urgent to apply an intensive early health check-up program for those in their 40s and 50s with a high prevalence of TNBC. For patients with breast cancer, in TNBC cases, except for poorly differentiated cases, neoadjuvant therapy must be applied first at all differentiation grades. The establishment of a policy system is necessary for the success of this process.