An Efficient Monte-Carlo Simulation for the Dynamic Reliability Analysis of Jacket Platforms Subjected to Random Wave Loads

Abstract

The growing demand for the application of jacket platforms in deep water requires more attention on the assessment of structural reliability. This paper is devoted to the dynamic reliability analysis of jacket platforms subjected to random wave loads with the Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS), in which a sample size of the order of magnitude of 104 to 105 for repeated time–history analyses is required for small failure probability problems, and a duration time up to three hours needs to be considered in the time–history analyses for a specific sea condition. To tackle the difficulty involved in the MCS, the explicit time-domain method (ETDM) is used for the required time–history analyses of jacket platforms, in which truncated explicit expressions of critical responses with regards to the contributing loading terms are first established and then used for numerous repeated sample analyses. The use of ETDM greatly enhances the computational efficiency of MCS, making it feasible for the dynamic reliability analysis of jacket platforms under random wave loads. A jacket platform with 11,688 degrees of freedom was analyzed for the evaluation of dynamic reliability under a given sea condition, indicating the accuracy and efficiency of the present approach and its feasibility to practical structures.