Estimates of cost-price passthrough from business survey data

Author:

Dogra Keshav1,Heise Sebastian1,Knotek Edward S.2ORCID,Meyer Brent3,Rich Robert W.2ORCID,Schoenle Raphael S.4ORCID,Topa Giorgio1,van der Klaauw Wilbert1,Bruine de Bruin Wändi5

Affiliation:

1. Federal Reserve Bank of New York

2. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

3. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

4. Brandeis University

5. University of Southern California

Abstract

We examine businesses' price-setting practices via open-ended interviews and in a quantitative survey module with business contacts from the Federal Reserve Banks of Atlanta, Cleveland, and New York in December 2022 and January 2023. Businesses indicated that their prices were strongly influenced by demand, a desire to maintain steady profit margins, and wages and labor costs. Survey respondents expected reduced growth in costs and prices of about 5 percent on average over the next year. Backward-looking, forward-looking, and hypothetical scenarios reveal average cost-price passthrough of around 60 percent, with meaningful heterogeneity across firms.

Publisher

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland

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