Risk Predictive Model Based on Three DDR-Related Genes for Predicting Prognosis, Therapeutic Sensitivity, and Tumor Microenvironment in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Abstract

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the seventh most common malignancy and the second most common cause of cancer-related deaths. Tumor mutational load, genomic instability, and tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes were associated with DNA damage response and repair gene changes. The goal of this study is to estimate the chances of patients with HCC surviving their disease by constructing a DNA damage repair- (DDR-) related gene profile. The International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) provided us with the mRNA expression matrix as well as clinical information relevant to HCC patients. Using Cox regression and LASSO analysis, DEGs strongly related to general survival were discovered in the differentially expressed gene (DEG) study. In order to assess the model’s accuracy, Kaplan-Meier (KM) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were used. In order to compute the immune cell infiltration score and immune associated pathway activity, a single-sample gene set enrichment analysis was performed. A three-gene signature (CDC20, TTK, and CENPA) was created using stability selection and LASSO COX regression. In comparison to the low-risk group, the prognosis for the high-risk group was surprisingly poor. In the ICGC datasets, the predictive characteristic was confirmed. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was calculated for each cohort. The risk mark for HCC patients is a reliable predictor according to multivariate Cox regression analysis. According to ssGSEA, this signature was highly correlated with the immunological state of HCC patients. There was a significant correlation between the expression levels of prognostic genes and cancer cells’ susceptibility to antitumor therapies. Overall, a distinct gene profile associated with DDR was identified, and this pattern may be able to predict HCC patients’ long-term survival, immune milieu, and chemotherapeutic response.