A prospective study on the prevalence of MASLD in people with type‐2 diabetes in the community. Cost effectiveness of screening strategies

Author:

Forlano Roberta1ORCID,Stanic Tijana2,Jayawardana Sahan2,Mullish Benjamin Harvey1ORCID,Yee Michael3,Mossialos Elias24,Goldin Robert5,Petta Salvatore6ORCID,Tsochatzis Emmanouil7ORCID,Thursz Mark1,Manousou Pinelopi1

Affiliation:

1. Liver Unit/Division of Digestive Diseases, Department of Metabolism, Digestion and Reproduction, Faculty of Medicine Imperial College London London UK

2. Department of Health Policy London School of Economics and Political Science London UK

3. Section of Endocrinology and Metabolic Medicine, St Mary's Hospital Imperial College NHS Trust London UK

4. Centre for Health Policy The Institute of Global Health Innovation, Imperial College London London UK

5. Department of Cellular Pathology, Faculty of Medicine Imperial College London London UK

6. Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, PROMISE University of Palermo Palermo Italy

7. Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, University College London London UK

Abstract

AbstractBackground and AimsAs screening for the liver disease and risk‐stratification pathways are not established in patients with type‐2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), we evaluated the diagnostic performance and the cost‐utility of different screening strategies for MASLD in the community.MethodsConsecutive patients with T2DM from primary care underwent screening for liver diseases, ultrasound, ELF score and transient elastography (TE). Five strategies were compared to the standard of care: ultrasound plus abnormal liver function tests (LFTs), Fibrosis score‐4 (FIB‐4), NAFLD fibrosis score, Enhanced liver fibrosis test (ELF) and TE. Standard of care was defined as abnormal LFTs prompting referral to hospital. A Markov model was built based on the fibrosis stage, defined by TE. We generated the cost per quality‐adjusted life year (QALY) gained and calculated the incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio (ICER) over a lifetime horizon.ResultsOf 300 patients, 287 were included: 64% (186) had MASLD and 10% (28) had other causes of liver disease. Patients with significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis due to MASLD were 17% (50/287), 11% (31/287) and 3% (8/287), respectively. Among those with significant fibrosis classified by LSM≥8.1 kPa, false negatives were 54% from ELF and 38% from FIB‐4. On multivariate analysis, waist circumference, BMI, AST levels and education rank were independent predictors of significant and advanced fibrosis. All the screening strategies were associated with QALY gains, with TE (148.73 years) having the most substantial gains, followed by FIB‐4 (134.07 years), ELF (131.68 years) and NAFLD fibrosis score (121.25 years). In the cost‐utility analysis, ICER was £2480/QALY for TE, £2541.24/QALY for ELF and £2059.98/QALY for FIB‐4.ConclusionScreening for MASLD in the diabetic population in primary care is cost‐effective and should become part of a holistic assessment. However, traditional screening strategies, including FIB‐4 and ELF, underestimate the presence of significant liver disease in this setting.

Funder

European Association for the Study of the Liver

NIHR Imperial Biomedical Research Centre

Publisher

Wiley

Subject

Hepatology

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