Climate risk and credit ratings

Author:

Tran Nhu1,Uzmanoglu Cihan2ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Robins School of Business University of Richmond Richmond Virginia USA

2. School of Management Binghamton University Binghamton New York USA

Abstract

AbstractWe find weak evidence suggesting that cities’ credit ratings reflect their climate risk exposure. Using a large sample of US cities, we test whether cities with higher exposure to physical or transition risks of climate change have lower credit ratings. We also compare the ratings of coastal and similar noncoastal cities, and run difference‐in‐differences tests around events that raise climate change awareness. Moreover, we study the climate risk effect within cities and at the bond level. We observe a negative association only between the Hallegatte et al. (2013) sea‐level‐rise measure and ratings, and this association is solely driven by New Orleans, which had already experienced a significant climate event.

Publisher

Wiley

Reference49 articles.

1. Impact of anthropogenic climate change on wildfire across western US forests;Abatzoglou J. T.;Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,2016

2. The real effects of credit ratings: the sovereign ceiling channel;Almeida H.;Journal of Finance,2017

3. Does climate change affect real estate prices? only if you believe in it;Baldauf M.;Review of Financial Studies,2020

4. Bansal R. Kiku D. &Ochoa M.(2019).Climate change risk(Working Paper). Duke University.

5. Baurick T.(2017 December 9).Credit rating firm warns New Orleans coastal cities to prepare for climate change.Times‐Picayune/NOLA.https://www.nola.com/news/environment/credit-rating-firm-warns-new-orleans-coastal-cities-to-prepare-for-climate-change/article_676f10e5-1a54-5414-942e-83877c1cd0f3.html

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