Role of Cardiac Risk Scores in Clinical Use to Predict Outcomes of Acute Ischemic Stroke

Abstract

Introduction: Acute coronary syndromes and ischemic stroke have similar risk factors. Risk scores help to identify disease severity in both diseases. We aimed to evaluate if HEART (History, ECG, Age, Risk factors, and Troponin) score could predict re-hospitalization, recurrent cardiac/cerebrovascular events risk, and mortality within 1-year follow-up in patients presenting with acute ischemic stroke. Methods: Patients hospitalized with a diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke in our tertiary center between 2019 and 2021 were included in this retrospective study. CHA2DS2-VASc and HEART scores on admission were calculated. In-hospital, 1-month, and 1-year mortalities, as well as re-hospitalization due to recurrent ischemic (cardiac/cerebral), were defined as major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE), and occurrence of MACCE was accepted as the primary endpoint of the study. Comparative statistical and regression analyses were obtained. Results: A total of 297 patients were included. The mortality rate for 30 days was 7.4% and 1 year was 20.5%. HEART and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were found independent risk factors associated with the occurrence of MACCE. Patients who experienced MACCE had higher HEART and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Meanwhile, HEART score had better prognostic accuracy than CHA2DS2-VASc score when a cutoff value of 3.5 was set, which is associated with 84.7% sensitivity and 75.2% specificity in the prediction of MACCE. Conclusion: HEART score is effective in determining re-hospitalization and recurrent cerebral ischemic event risk as well as mortality within 30 days and 1 year in patients presenting with acute ischemic stroke. Thus, concomitant use of HEART and CHA2DS2-VASc scores may provide better characterization of worse prognosis in ischemic stroke patients with high sensitivity and specificity.