How Do Marine Pelagic Species Respond to Climate Change? Theories and Observations

Author:

Beaugrand Grégory12,Kirby Richard R.3

Affiliation:

1. Laboratoire d'Océanologie et de Géosciences, CNRS UMR 8187 LOG, Université de Lille and Université du Littoral Côte d'Opale, F-62930 Wimereux, France;

2. Sir Alister Hardy Foundation for Ocean Science, Plymouth PL1 2PB, United Kingdom

3. Secchi Disk Foundation, Yealmpton PL8 2HU, United Kingdom

Abstract

In this review, we show how climate affects species, communities, and ecosystems, and why many responses from the species to the biome level originate from the interaction between the species’ ecological niche and changes in the environmental regime in both space and time. We describe a theory that allows us to understand and predict how marine species react to climate-induced changes in ecological conditions, how communities form and are reconfigured, and so how biodiversity is arranged and may respond to climate change. Our study shows that the responses of species to climate change are therefore intelligible—that is, they have a strong deterministic component and can be predicted.

Publisher

Annual Reviews

Subject

Oceanography

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