The added diagnostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT radiomic analysis in multiple myeloma patients with negative visual analysis

Abstract

Purpose A small number of patients diagnosed with multiple myeloma (MM) by bone marrow aspiration reported as being disease-free on 18F-FDG PET/CT. We aim to evaluate the diagnostic value of radiomics approach in patients with MM who were negative by visual analysis. Materials and methods Thirty-three patients judged negative by visual analysis were assigned to the MM group. Contemporaneous 31 disease-free patients served as the control group. 70% of the whole data set was used as training set (23 from MM group and 22 from control group) and 30% as testing set (10 from MM group and 9 from control group). Axial skeleton volumes were automatically segmented and high-dimensional imaging features were extracted from PET and CT. The unsupervised machine learning method was used to filter and reduce the dimensions of the extracted features. Random forest was used to construct the prediction model and then validated with 10-fold cross-validation and evaluated on the independent testing set. Results One thousand seven hundred two quantitative features were extracted from PET and CT. Of those, three first-order and one high-order imaging features were uncorrelated. With the cross-validation on the training group, the sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and area under the curve of random forest were 0.850, 0.792, 0.818 and 0.894, respectively. On the independent testing set, the accuracy of the model was 0.850 and the area under the curve was 0.909. Conclusion Radiomic analysis based on 18F-FDG PET/CT using machine learning model provides a quantitative, objective and efficient mechanism for diagnosing patients with MM who were negative by visual analysis.