Venous Thromboembolism Risk Assessment Models in Plastic Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Abstract

Background: Postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) is the most common complication of plastic surgery procedures. Diverse risk assessment models (RAMs) exist to stratify patients by VTE risk, but due to a lack of high-quality evidence and heterogeneity in RAM data, there is no recommendation regarding RAM that can be used for plastic surgery patients. This study compares the reliability and outcomes of Caprini and American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification RAMs used in plastic surgery to help surgeons stratify the risk of VTE. Methods: MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched between February 2010 and December 2021. All published English articles that report the incidence of VTE stratified by a RAM among patients who underwent plastic surgery were included. The results of the presented meta-analysis were pooled using a random-effects model. Results: The database search revealed 809 articles, out of which eight studies (n = 1,348,606) were eligible. Out of the eight studies, six utilized the Caprini score, and three utilized ASA score. Super-high-risk patients were significantly more likely to present with VTE than their high-risk [odds ratio (OR), 2.92; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.26–6.78], medium-risk (OR, 5.29; 95% CI, 2.38–11.79), or low-risk counterparts (OR, 10.00; 95% CI, 2.32–43.10) at Caprini score. High-risk patients in ASA score showed significant increase in VTE incidents (OR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.10–6.72). Conclusions: Both Caprini and ASA RAMs showed compelling evidence of efficacy in our study. However, the Caprini RAM is more predictive of postoperative VTE incidents in high-risk plastic surgery patients than the ASA grading system.