Evaluating the predictive value of initial lactate/albumin ratios in determining prognosis of sepsis patients

Abstract

Sepsis remains a significant clinical challenge owing to its complex pathophysiology and variable prognosis. The early identification of patients at a higher risk of poor outcomes can be crucial for improving treatment strategies. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of early serum lactate and albumin levels and the lactate/albumin (L/A) ratio for 28-day prognosis in patients with sepsis. Patients diagnosed with sepsis between January 2021 and December 2022 were evaluated using a retrospective cohort methodology. Inclusion followed the International Consensus on sepsis and septic shock (Sepsis-3) guidelines and patients were selected based on well-defined criteria. Variables such as lactate, albumin, and the L/A ratio were documented within the first 24 hours of admission. Statistical analyses were performed using various tools, including the nonparametric Mann–Whitney U test and receiver operating characteristic curves. A total of 301 patients were divided into the survival (n = 167) and death (n = 134) groups. Notable differences were detected in the incidence of pulmonary infection, shock, lactate, albumin, and the L/A ratio. The L/A ratio was identified as a key predictor with an area under the curve of 0.868, an optimal cutoff value of >0.17, a sensitivity of 56.21%, and a specificity of 94.18%. Significant disparities in mortality rates and survival times were observed for the lactate, albumin, and L/A levels. This study underscores the predictive value of early serum lactate and albumin levels and the L/A ratio for 28-day prognosis in patients with sepsis, with the L/A ratio showing a superior predictive capability. These findings highlight the importance of L/A ratio as a robust and precise marker for evaluating the future clinical course of patients with sepsis, potentially aiding early detection and management.