A nomogram based on the SII3 and clinical indicators predicts survival in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with PD-1 inhibitors

Abstract

Numerous inflammatory indicators have been demonstrated to be strongly correlated with tumor prognosis. However, the association between inflammatory indicators and the prognosis of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) receiving treatment with programmed death receptor-1 (PD-1) immunosuppressant monoclonal antibodies remains uncertain. Inflammatory indicators in peripheral blood were collected from 161 NPC patients at 3 weeks after initial PD-1 treatment. Through univariate and multivariate analyses, as well as nomogram and survival analyses, we aimed to identify independent prognostic factors related to 1-year progression-free survival (PFS). Subsequently, a prognostic nomogram was devised, and its predictive and discriminating abilities were assessed utilizing calibration curves and the concordance index. Our univariate and multivariate analyses indicated that age (P = .012), M stage (P < .001), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) during the third week following initial PD-1 treatment (SII3, P = .005) were independently correlated with the 1-year PFS of NPC patients after PD-1 treatment. Notably, we constructed a novel nomogram based on the SII3, age, and M stage. Importantly, utilizing the derived cutoff point from the nomogram, the high-risk group exhibited significantly shorter PFS than did the low-risk group (P < .001). Furthermore, the nomogram demonstrated a greater concordance index for PFS than did the tumor node metastasis stage within the entire cohort. We successfully developed a nomogram that integrates the SII3 and clinical markers to accurately predict the 1-year PFS of NPC patients receiving PD-1 inhibitor treatment.