Can a local low-budget intervention make a difference to suicide rates? Evaluating the effectiveness of the Barnet (London) suicide prevention campaign using real-time suspected suicide data

Author:

Chabé-Ferret Bastien1,Marzano Lisa1

Affiliation:

1. Middlesex University

Abstract

Abstract

Background Three quarters of suicides in the UK are by men, of which only a quarter had contact with mental health services at the time of their death. Community-based interventions are therefore likely to be crucial to reduce (male) suicides, but there is limited evidence to support their effectiveness. The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of a multi-strategy campaign to increase uptake of mental health services and peer support amongst working-aged men in Barnet, London. Methods We used data on suspected suicides in London between 1st March 2021 to 31st November 2023 (N = 1,408) to calculate monthly age-standardised rates in a) Barnet, b) surrounding boroughs and c) the rest of London, for ‘naïve’ and ‘placebo’ comparisons during and outside the campaign period, and then before, during and after the campaign. We also estimated maximum exposure to the campaign beyond its duration, and repeated the analysis using a more conservative (February to December 2020) baseline period for Barnet. Results There was a sizeable drop in suicides in Barnet for the duration of the campaign and the following six months, with 7 to 10 deaths possibly averted thanks to the campaign, which represents a decline of 20 to 30% of the yearly incidence, at a cost of under £5,200 per averted suicide. Conclusions Our analysis suggests that a local, relatively inexpensive community-based campaign can be effective in reducing (suspected) suicides. However, further research is needed to confidently link this decrease in suicides to the campaign, or specific elements of it.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Reference32 articles.

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2. National Confidential Inquiry into Suicide and Safety in Mental Health. Annual report 2023: UK patient and general population data 2010–2020. Manchester: 2023.

3. Department of Health and Social Care. Suicide prevention strategy for England 2023.

4. The effectiveness of an Australian community suicide prevention networks program in preventing suicide: a controlled longitudinal study;Morgan A;BMC Public Health,2022

5. Long-term impact of the Garrett Lee Smith Youth Suicide Prevention Program on youth suicide mortality, 2006–2015;Garraza L;J Child Psychol Psychiatry,2019

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