Metaverse in Dynamic Viral-shedding Surveillance for Emerging Infectious Disease: A Digital Twin Approach to COVID-19 Epidemic

Author:

Chen Hsiu Hsi1,Lin Ting-Yu1,Yen Ming-Fang2,Chen Li-Sheng3,Hsu Chen-Yang4,Yeh Yen-Po5

Affiliation:

1. College of Public Health, National Taiwan University

2. Taipei Medical University

3. College of Oral Medicine, Taipei Medical University

4. Master of Public Health Program, College of Public Health

5. Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health

Abstract

Abstract Metaverse in effective surveillance of outbreaks of emerging infectious diseases such as COVID-19 opens a new avenue for precision and efficient contact tracing, quarantine, and isolation. We adopted a digital twin model to generate digital threads for tracing and tracking virtual data on the cycle threshold (Ct) values of the repeated RT-PCR with parameters learned from real-world (physical) data fitted with Markov machine learning algorithms. Such a digital twin method is demonstrated with COVID-19 community-acquired outbreaks of the Alpha and Omicron Variants of Concern (VOCs) in Taiwan. The personalized dynamics of Ct-defined transitions were derived from the digital threads of the two community-acquired outbreaks to guide precision contact tracing, quarantine, and isolation of both Alpha and Omicron VOCs outbreaks. Metaverse surveillance with such a Ct-guided digital twin model is supposed to be useful for timely containing the spread of emerging infectious diseases in the future.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

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