IMPACT-Restart: the influence of COVID-19 on postoperative mortality and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection after orthopaedic and trauma surgery

Author:

Clement Nicholas D.1,Hall Andrew James1ORCID,Makaram Navnit S.1,Robinson Patrick G.1ORCID,Patton Robyn F. L.2,Moran Matthew1,Macpherson Gavin J.1,Duckworth Andrew D.13,Jenkins Paul J.4

Affiliation:

1. Department of Orthopaedics, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK

2. Biomedical Sciences, Medicine and Veterinary Medicine, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK

3. University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK,

4. Department of Orthopaedics, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, UK

Abstract

Aims The primary aim of this study was to assess the independent association of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) on postoperative mortality for patients undergoing orthopaedic and trauma surgery. The secondary aim was to identify factors that were associated with developing COVID-19 during the postoperative period. Methods A multicentre retrospective study was conducted of all patients presenting to nine centres over a 50-day period during the COVID-19 pandemic (1 March 2020 to 19 April 2020) with a minimum of 50 days follow-up. Patient demographics, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) grade, priority (urgent or elective), procedure type, COVID-19 status, and postoperative mortality were recorded. Results During the study period, 1,659 procedures were performed in 1,569 patients. There were 68 (4.3%) patients who were diagnosed with COVID-19. There were 85 (5.4%) deaths postoperatively. Patients who had COVID-19 had a significantly lower survival rate when compared with those without a proven SARS-CoV-2 infection (67.6% vs 95.8%, p < 0.001). When adjusting for confounding variables (older age (p < 0.001), female sex (p = 0.004), hip fracture (p = 0.003), and increasing ASA grade (p < 0.001)) a diagnosis of COVID-19 was associated with an increased mortality risk (hazard ratio 1.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.14 to 3.12; p = 0.014). A total of 62 patients developed COVID-19 postoperatively, of which two were in the elective and 60 were in the urgent group. Patients aged > 77 years (odds ratio (OR) 3.16; p = 0.001), with increasing ASA grade (OR 2.74; p < 0.001), sustaining a hip (OR 4.56; p = 0.008) or periprosthetic fracture (OR 14.70; p < 0.001) were more likely to develop COVID-19 postoperatively. Conclusion Perioperative COVID-19 nearly doubled the background postoperative mortality risk following surgery. Patients at risk of developing COVID-19 postoperatively (patients > 77 years, increasing morbidity, sustaining a hip or periprosthetic fracture) may benefit from perioperative shielding. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2020;102-B(12):1774–1781.

Publisher

British Editorial Society of Bone & Joint Surgery

Subject

Orthopedics and Sports Medicine,Surgery

Reference29 articles.

1. Jenkins PJ. The early effect of COVID-19 on trauma and elective orthopaedic surgery. The Transient Journal of Trauma, Orthopaedics and the Coronavirus. 2020. https://www.boa.ac.uk/policy-engagement/journal-of-trauma-orthopaedics/journal-of-trauma-orthopaedics-and-coronavirus/the-early-effect-of-covid-19-on-trauma-and-elect.html (date last accessed 19 October 2020).

2. Population mobility and adult orthopaedic trauma services during the COVID-19 pandemic: fragility fracture provision remains a priority

3. Reinstating elective orthopaedic surgery in the age of COVID-19

4. The theoretical mortality risk of an asymptomatic patient with a negative SARS-CoV-2 test developing COVID-19 following elective orthopaedic surgery

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