Revealing neglected hotspots for China’s quality-induced water scarcity

Abstract

Abstract A dependable assessment of quality-induced water scarcity (QualWS) is essential for tackling the issue and achieving sustainable development goals. The conventional Emission-based grey water footprint (GWF) may over- or under-estimate QualWS, as it solely focuses on local pollutant emissions while disregarding other influential factors, such as water body self-purification capacity, transboundary water flows and the potential under- or over-estimation of water pollution emissions. To address this limitation, we propose the State-based GWF to reflect the quality status of local water resources accurately. The indicator is applied in annual and monthly QualWS assessments at the provincial scale in China. In 2021, 19 provinces were identified as QualWS hotspots, comprising seven moderate and 12 slight hotspots for at least one pollutant. Notably, the State-based assessment revealed eight previously overlooked hotspots undetected by conventional methods. Furthermore, total phosphorus emerged as the most critical water pollutant, followed by total nitrogen and chemical oxygen demand. Our assessment presents an innovative perspective for understanding QualWS and establishes a scientific basis for effective aquatic environment management.