Spatio-temporal evolution and driving factors of new urbanization in central China based on multi-source data

Abstract

Urbanization is an inevitable outcome of the development of human society to a certain stage, and it is also an irreversible pattern of the concentration degree of human society. Based on multi-source data such as remote sensing images, ecological environment and socio-economic data, the evaluation index system of new urbanization is constructed from multi-dimensions of population, economy, society, space and ecology. To explore the spatio temporal evolution and driving factors of urbanization in 80 prefecture-level cities in central China from 2013 to 2021 by using entropy method, spatial autocorrelation model and geographic detector. The results show that: (1) The level of new urbanization continues to grow, with the average value rising from 0.1562 in 2013 to 0.2557 in 2021, and the regional differences are obvious, forming a circle structure with Wuhan, Zhengzhou and other provincial capitals as the center and weakening radiation to surrounding cities. (2) The agglomeration of ecological urbanization is significant, and the agglomeration trend is gradually enhanced. The high-high agglomeration areas tend to Xinzhou City, most prefecture-level cities in Hubei Province and some prefecture-level cities in Southern Hunan Province, while the low-low agglomeration areas tend to Changzhi City, most prefecture level cities in Henan Province and some prefecture-level cities in Northern Anhui Province. (3) The night light index, total retail sales of consumer goods, investment in fixed assets, proportion of built-up areas and urban economic density are the main driving factors affecting the level of new urbanization. (4) The interaction of driving factors shows double factor enhancement and nonlinear enhancement effects.