Comorbidities in heart failure patients that predict cardiovascular readmissions within 100 days—An observational study

Abstract

Background Heart failure (HF) commonly arises as a complication to cardiovascular diseases and is closely associated with various comorbidities. The impacts of these comorbidities in patients with HF are diverse. We aimed to analyze the increased risk for cardiovascular-related readmission within 100 days after discharge in patients with HF depending on their different comorbidities. Methods A population-based retrospective study was conducted in Region Halland with 5029 patients admitted to hospital with a diagnosis of HF during 2017–2019. The occurrence and number of comorbidities were recorded. Competing risk regression was employed to analyze the hazard ratio (HR) of 10 comorbidities for cardiovascular-related readmission within 100 days after discharge. A composite measure of the 10 common comorbidities was constructed with the comorbidities as dichotomous indicator variables and Rasch analysis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and area under curve (AUC) after logistic regression were used to estimate how well the model explained the probability of death or readmission within 100 days after discharge according to their individual comorbidity level. Results HF patients with atrial fibrillation, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, peripheral artery disease or diabetes mellitus as comorbidities had an increased HR for readmission within 100 days after discharge. When these comorbidities were adjusted together, only atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease had an increased HR for readmission. ROC analysis after the most complete models using logistic regression with the comorbidities as dichotomous indicator variables or Rasch analysis had a low AUC. Conclusions Atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were significantly associated with increased risk for readmission in HF patients, but ROC analysis showed a low AUC, which indicates that other factors are more important for predicting the increased risk of readmission.