Identifying temporal variations in burn admissions

Abstract

Background Variations in admission patterns have been previously identified in non-elective surgical services, but minimal data on the subject exists with respect to burn admissions. Improved understanding of the temporal pattern of burn admissions could inform resource utilization and clinical staffing. We hypothesize that burn admissions have a predictable temporal distribution with regard to the time of day, day of week, and season of year in which they present. Study design A retrospective, cohort observational study of a single burn center from 7/1/2016 to 3/31/2021 was performed on all admissions to the burn surgery service. Demographics, burn characteristics, and temporal data of burn admissions were collected. Bivariate absolute and relative frequency data was captured and plotted for all patients who met inclusion criteria. Heat-maps were created to visually represent the relative admission frequency by time of day and day of week. Frequency analysis grouped by total body surface area against time of day and relative encounters against day of year was performed. Results 2213 burn patient encounters were analyzed, averaging 1.28 burns per day. The nadir of burn admissions was from 07:00 and 08:00, with progressive increase in the rate of admissions over the day. Admissions peaked in the 15:00 hour and then plateaued until midnight (p<0.001). There was no association between day of week in the burn admission distribution (p>0.05), though weekend admissions skewed slightly later (p = 0.025). No annual, cyclical trend in burn admissions was identified, suggesting that there is no predictable seasonality to burn admissions, though individual holidays were not assessed. Conclusion Temporal variations in burn admissions exist, including a peak admission window late in the day. Furthermore, we did not find a predictable annual pattern to use in guiding staffing and resource allocation. This differs from findings in trauma, which identified admission peaks on the weekends and an annual cycle that peaks in spring and summer.