Increased transmissibility and global spread of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern as at June 2021

Author:

Campbell Finlay1ORCID,Archer Brett1,Laurenson-Schafer Henry1,Jinnai Yuka1,Konings Franck1,Batra Neale1,Pavlin Boris1,Vandemaele Katelijn1,Van Kerkhove Maria D1,Jombart Thibaut231,Morgan Oliver1,le Polain de Waroux Olivier1

Affiliation:

1. Health Emergencies Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland

2. Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom

3. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom

Abstract

We present a global analysis of the spread of recently emerged SARS-CoV-2 variants and estimate changes in effective reproduction numbers at country-specific level using sequence data from GISAID. Nearly all investigated countries demonstrated rapid replacement of previously circulating lineages by the World Health Organization-designated variants of concern, with estimated transmissibility increases of 29% (95% CI: 24–33), 25% (95% CI: 20–30), 38% (95% CI: 29–48) and 97% (95% CI: 76–117), respectively, for B.1.1.7, B.1.351, P.1 and B.1.617.2.

Publisher

European Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC)

Subject

Virology,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health,Epidemiology

Reference12 articles.

1. World Health Organization (WHO). COVID-19 weekly epidemiological update, 1 June 2021. Geneva: WHO; 2021. Available from: https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/341622

2. Data, disease and diplomacy: GISAID’s innovative contribution to global health.;Elbe;Glob Chall,2017

3. Department of Health and Social Care. New measures to boost response to the B1.617.2 variant. Press release. London: GOV.UK; 13 May 2021. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-measures-to-boost-response-to-the-b16172-variant

4. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). COVID data tracker. Atlanta: CDC. [Accessed: 13 Apr 2021]. Available from: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker

5. Public Health England (PHE). Investigation of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: technical briefings. London: PHE; 2021. [Accessed: 13 Apr 2021]. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201

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