Negative Wealth Shock and Cognitive Decline and Dementia in Middle-Aged and Older US Adults

Abstract

ImportanceAs a financial hardship, negative wealth shock has been implicated in some adverse health outcomes. However, associations between negative wealth shock and cognitive decline and dementia have not been examined.ObjectiveTo investigate whether negative wealth shock was associated with cognitive decline and incident dementia among middle-aged and older US adults.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThe Health and Retirement Study (HRS) is a prospective cohort study conducted biennially among US adults older than 50 years. Data from the HRS from calendar years 1996 to 2020 were analyzed from July 1 to 31, 2023. The final sample included 8082 participants with complete data of interest.ExposuresWealth status was quantified with questionnaires. Negative wealth shock was defined as a loss of 75% or more in total wealth over a 2-year period. Asset poverty was defined as zero or less total net wealth.Main Outcomes and MeasuresCognitive function was assessed with the modified Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status (TICS-m). Dementia status was determined with TICS-m scores and proxy assessment.ResultsAmong 8082 participants included (mean [SD] age, 63.7 [5.7] years; 4179 women [51.7%] and 3903 men [48.3%]; 1111 Black [13.7%], 6689 White [82.7%], and 282 other [3.5%]), 1441 developed incident dementia over a median follow-up time of 14 (IQR, 7-20) years. Compared with participants who had positive wealth without shock, those with negative wealth shock had accelerated cognitive decline (β coefficient, −0.014 [95% CI, −0.027 to −0.001]; P = .03) and increased risks of dementia (hazard ratio [HR], 1.27 [95% CI, 1.11-1.46]; P < .001). Higher dementia risks were also found in participants with asset poverty at baseline (HR, 1.61 [95% CI, 1.30-2.00]; P < .001). Associations were found in White participants (HR, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.14-1.58]; P < .001) and participants younger than 65 years (HR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.13-1.68]; P = .001) but not in other races and ethnicities or those 65 years or older.Conclusions and RelevanceIn this cohort study, negative wealth shock was associated with accelerated cognitive decline and elevated risks of dementia among middle-aged and older US adults, with modifications by age and ethnicity. These findings should be confirmed by further prospective and interventional studies.