Scale-dependent estimates of the growth of forecast uncertainties in a global prediction system
Author:
Affiliation:
1. Faculty of Mathematics and Physics, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
2. Department of Astrophysics and Planetary Science, Villanova University, Villanova, PA, USA.
3. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK.
Funder
H2020 European Research Council
Publisher
Informa UK Limited
Subject
Atmospheric Science,Oceanography
Link
https://tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/16000870.2017.1287492
Reference29 articles.
1. Independent Estimations of the Asymptotic Variability in an Ensemble Forecast System
2. Potential use of an ensemble of analyses in the ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System
3. Stochastic representation of model uncertainties in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system
4. The forecast skill horizon
5. Error growth and predictability in operational ECMWF forecasts
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